|
Sign In to gain access to subscriptions and/or personal tools.
|
Group Processes & Intergroup Relations, Vol. 3, No. 4,
351-365 (2000)
DOI: 10.1177/1368430200003004002
© 2000 SAGE Publications
Egoism Bias in Social Dilemmas with Resource Uncertainty
Mathias Gustafsson
Göteborg University, Sweden, Mathias.Gustafsson{at}psy.gu.se
Anders Biel
Göteborg University, Sweden
Tommy Gärling
Göteborg University, Sweden, Tommy.Garling{at}psy.gu.se
In Experiment 1 we investigated size estimates and requests from an uncertain resource in a common-pool resource dilemma. In Experiment 2, we examined contributions in a public-good dilemma with an uncertain provision threshold when participants were informed about others pessimistically biased estimates of the resource size or provision threshold. Supporting an individual outcome-desirability bias, but refuting a perceptual bias and an egoism bias, participants in Experiment 1 did not estimate size differently, and they cooperated more, rather than less, when they were informed about others estimates. Likewise, participants contributed more in Experiment 2 when they were informed about others estimates. These results were replicated in Experiment 3, where the outcome did not depend on others requests or contributions.
Key Words: outcome-desirability bias resource uncertainty social dilemmas
References
- Axelrod, R. (1984). The evolution of cooperation. New York: Basic Books.
- Biel, A., & Gärling, T. (1995). The role of uncertainty in resource dilemmas. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 15, 221-233.[CrossRef]
- Biel, A., Eek, D., & Gärling, T. (1997). Distributive justice and willingness to pay for municipality child care. Social Justice Research, 10, 63-80.
- Brewer, M. B., & Kramer, M. R. (1986). Choice behavior in social dilemmas: Effects of social identity, group size and decision framing. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 50, 543-549.[CrossRef][ISI]
- Buckley, T., & Sniezek, J. (1992). Passion, preference, and predictability in judgmental forecasting. Psychological Reports, 70, 1022.[CrossRef]
- Budescu, D. V., & Bruderman, M. (1995). The relationship between the illusion of control and the desirability bias. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 8, 109-125.
- Budescu, D. V., Rapoport, A., & Suleiman, R. (1990). Resource dilemmas with environmental uncertainty and asymmetric players. European Journal of Social Psychology, 20, 475-487.
- Chapman, G. B., & Johnson, E. J. (1994). The limits of anchoring. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 7, 223-242.
- Dawes, R. M. (1980). Social dilemmas. Annual Review of Psychology, 31, 169-193.[CrossRef][ISI]
- Dawes, R. M., McTavish, J., & Shaklee, H. (1977). Behavior, communication, and assumptions about other peoples behavior in a common dilemma situation. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 35, 1-11.[CrossRef][ISI]
- De Vries, S., & Wilke, H. (1992). Constrained egoism and resource management under uncertainty. In W. Liebrand, D. M. Messick, & H. Wilke (Eds.), Social dilemmas: Theoretical issues and research findings (pp. 81-99). Oxford: Pergamon.
- Fischer, I., & Budescu, D. V. (1995). Desirability and hindsight biases in predicting results of a multiparty election. In J.-P. Caverni, M. Bar Hillel, F. H. Barron, & H. Jungerman (Eds.), Contributions to decision making (pp. 193-211). Amsterdam: Elsevier.
- Gardner, R., Ostrom, E. & Walker, J. (1990) The nature of common-pool resource problems. Rationality and Society, 2, 335-358.[Abstract]
- Gustafsson, M., Biel, A., & Gärling, T. (1999a). Outcome-desirability bias in resource management problems. Thinking and Reasoning, 5, 327-337.
- Gustafsson, M., Biel, A., & Gärling, T. (1999b). Overharvesting of resources of unknown size. Acta Psychologica, 103, 47-67.[CrossRef]
- Hardin, G. R. (1968) The tragedy of the commons. Science, 162, 1243-1248.[Abstract/Free Full Text]
- Hogarth, R. M., & Einhorn, H. J. (1990). Venture theory: A model of decision weights. Management Science, 36, 780-803.
- Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47, 269-291.
- Kelley, H. H., & Thibaut, J. W. (1978). Interpersonal relations: A theory of interdependence. New York: Wiley.
- Kerr, N. L., & Kaufman-Gilliland, C. M. (1994). Communication, commitment and cooperation in social dilemmas. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 66, 513-529.[CrossRef]
- Komorita, S. S. (1976). A model of the N-person dilemma-type game. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 12, 357-373.[CrossRef]
- Komorita, S. S., & Barth, J. M. (1985). Components of reward in social dilemmas. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 48, 364-373.[CrossRef][ISI][Medline]
[Order article via Infotrieve]
- Komorita, S. S., & Parks, C. D. (1995). Interpersonal relations: Mixed-motive interaction. Annual Review of Psychology, 46, 183-207.[CrossRef][ISI]
- Liebrand, W. B. G., Messick, D. M., & Wilke, H. A. M. (1992). Current theoretical issues. In W. Liebrand, D. M. Messick, & H. Wilke (Eds.), Social dilemmas: Theoretical issues and research findings (pp. 29-43). Oxford: Pergamon.
- McCusker, C., & Carnevale, P. J. (1995). Framing in resource dilemmas: Loss aversion and the moderating effects of sanctions. Organizational Behavior and Decision Processes, 61, 190-201.[CrossRef]
- Messick, D., & Brewer, M. B. (1983). Solving social dilemmas: A review. In L. Wheeler & P. Shaver (Eds.), Review of personality and social psychology (Vol. 4, pp. 11-44). Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
- Messick, D. M., & McClelland, C. L. (1983). Social traps and temporal traps. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 9, 105-110.[Abstract]
- Messick, D. M., & Schell, H. (1992). Evidence for an equality heuristic in social decision making. Acta Psychologica, 80, 311-323.[CrossRef]
- Messick, D. M., Wilke, H., Brewer, M. B., Kramer, R. M., Zemke, P. E., & Lui, L. (1983). Individual adaptations and structural change as solutions to social dilemmas. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 44, 294-309.[CrossRef][ISI]
- Northcraft, G. B., & Neale, M. A. (1987). Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring-and-adjustment perspective on property pricing decisions. Organizational Behavior and Decision Processes, 39, 84-97.[CrossRef]
- Olsen, R. A. (1997). Desirability bias among professional investment managers: Some evidence from experts. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 10, 65-72.[CrossRef]
- Orbell, J. M., Van De Kragt, A. J. C., & Dawes, R. M. (1988). Explaining discussion-induced cooperation. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 54, 811-819.[CrossRef]
- Ostrom, E. (1990). Governing the commons: The evolution of institutions of collective action. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
- Ostrom, E., Gardner, R., & Walker, J. (1994). Rules, games, and common-pool resources. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.
- Rapoport, A., Budescu, D. V., Suleiman, R., & Weg, E. (1992). Social dilemmas with uniformly distributed resources. In W. Liebrand, D. M. Messick, & H. Wilke (Eds.), Social dilemmas: Theoretical issues and research findings (pp. 43-57). Oxford: Pergamon.
- Schroeder, D. A., Sibicky, M. E., & Irwin, M. E., (1995). A framework for understanding decisions in social dilemmas. In D. A. Schroeder (Ed.), Social dilemmas: Perspectives on individuals and groups (pp. 183-200). Westport, CT: Praeger.
- Slovic, P., & Lichtenstein, S. (1971). Comparison of Bayesian and regression approaches to the study of information processing in judgement. Organizational Behavior and Human Performance, 6, 649-744.[CrossRef][ISI]
- Suleiman, R., & Rapoport, A. (1988). Environmental and social uncertainty in single-trial resource dilemmas. Acta Psychologica, 68, 99-112.[CrossRef]
- Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D. (1974). Judging under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases. Science, 5, 1124-1131.
- Van Lange, P. A. M., Liebrand, W. B. G., Messick, D. M., & Wilke, H. A. M. (1992). Introduction and literature review. In W. Liebrand, D. M. Messick, & H. Wilke (Eds.), Social dilemmas: Theoretical issues and research findings. (pp. 3-28). Oxford: Pergamon.
- Weinsten, N. D. (1980). Unrealistic optimism about future life events. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 5, 806-820.
- Wilke, H. A. M. (1991). Greed, efficiency and fairness in resource management situations. In W. Stroebe & M. Hewstone (Eds.), European review of social psychology (Vol. 2, pp. 165-187). London: Wiley.
- Wit, A., & Wilke, H. (1998). Public good provision under environmental and social uncertainty. European Journal of Social Psychology, 28, 249-256.[CrossRef]
- Wright, W. F., & Anderson, U. (1989). Effects of situation familiarity and financial incentives on use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic for probability assessment. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 44, 68-82.[CrossRef]
- Zakay, D. (1983). The relationship between the probability assessor and the outcomes of an event as a determiner of subjective probability. Acta Psychologica, 53, 271-280.[CrossRef]

CiteULike Connotea Del.icio.us Digg Reddit Technorati What's this?
This article has been cited by other articles:

|
 |

|
 |
 
W. T. Au and M. Y. Ngai
Effects of Group Size Uncertainty and Protocol of Play in a Common Pool Resource Dilemma
Group Processes Intergroup Relations,
July 1, 2003;
6(3):
265 - 283.
[Abstract]
[PDF]
|
 |
|
|